Nice statistique. But why the hell H4 doing less better than Komodo ? I have see Houdini doing really well ins these private tournament except versus stockfish. I don't understand.
JJJ wrote:Nice statistique. But why the hell H4 doing less better than Komodo ? I have see Houdini doing really well ins these private tournament except versus stockfish. I don't understand.
I think that Komodo earns more from 16 cores relative to houdini.
Komodo also may be better than the commercial version that won
latest TCEC so komodo is favourite to do better result than houdini.
JJJ wrote:Nice statistique. But why the hell H4 doing less better than Komodo ? I have see Houdini doing really well ins these private tournament except versus stockfish. I don't understand.
I started with reasonable assumptions and TCEC ratings. H4 lost to SF and K in the previous season. SF improved quite a bit, K probably too, since that season. So, rating at these extreme LTC and hardware I set to be 20 Elo points SF, 10 Elo points K, 0 Elo points H, and -70 Elo points Cr. They are middle ground from TCEC ratings and common sense. As it shows, even 10 Elo points disadvantage H vs. K is noticeable in predictions, besides that, SF and K already have 1 point advantage after 4 RR out of 16 RR. I have a draw model giving ~55% draws, a bit more for stronger engines, a bit less for weaker like Critter.
The interesting thing is also that the new TCEC format with more games per engine and carefully selected openings is able to discern reasonably 15-20 Elo points differences.
JJJ wrote:Nice statistique. But why the hell H4 doing less better than Komodo ? I have see Houdini doing really well ins these private tournament except versus stockfish. I don't understand.
I started with reasonable assumptions and TCEC ratings. H4 lost to SF and K in the previous season. SF improved quite a bit, K probably too, since that season. So, rating at these extreme LTC and hardware I set to be 20 Elo points SF, 10 Elo points K, 0 Elo points H, and -70 Elo points Cr. They are middle ground from TCEC ratings and common sense. As it shows, even 10 Elo points disadvantage H vs. K is noticeable in predictions, besides that, SF and K already have 1 point advantage after 4 RR out of 16 RR. I have a draw model giving ~55% draws, a bit more for stronger engines, a bit less for weaker like Critter.
The interesting thing is also that the new TCEC format with more games per engine and carefully selected openings is able to discern reasonably 15-20 Elo points differences.
I see. Komodo will be updated one more time if it pass to the final. Do you think it will be able to defeat Stockfish ? Or to be as good than it or better ?
JJJ wrote:Nice statistique. But why the hell H4 doing less better than Komodo ? I have see Houdini doing really well ins these private tournament except versus stockfish. I don't understand.
I started with reasonable assumptions and TCEC ratings. H4 lost to SF and K in the previous season. SF improved quite a bit, K probably too, since that season. So, rating at these extreme LTC and hardware I set to be 20 Elo points SF, 10 Elo points K, 0 Elo points H, and -70 Elo points Cr. They are middle ground from TCEC ratings and common sense. As it shows, even 10 Elo points disadvantage H vs. K is noticeable in predictions, besides that, SF and K already have 1 point advantage after 4 RR out of 16 RR. I have a draw model giving ~55% draws, a bit more for stronger engines, a bit less for weaker like Critter.
The interesting thing is also that the new TCEC format with more games per engine and carefully selected openings is able to discern reasonably 15-20 Elo points differences.
I see. Komodo will be updated one more time if it pass to the final. Do you think it will be able to defeat Stockfish ? Or to be as good than it or better ?
SF has a patch too, regarding multithreading. I keep the same supposed ratings (and assume H4 is not updated) , and the new predictions after 5 RR out of 16 RR are: