No, it has been guesswork supported by speculation and hand-waving. Absolutely no proof of any kind has been offered. And NOBODY is considering the fact that GMs are not perfect players, not even close. Can't hand-wave that away either.syzygy wrote:You are obviously never going to want to understand this, but everybody else will agree that with a knight advantage in the opening, the perfect-playing winning side will easily be a rook up or more when the endgame gets in sight (if the game ever gets to the endgame).bob wrote:Based on exactly what? Without a "perfect player" what is the basis? Speculation does not count. Perhaps one can probe the 7 piece endings for positions like KQRNKQR to get a maximin type score. Or KRNP vs KRP.syzygy wrote:You forgot that here we are talking about DTM-perfect (with knight) vs DTM-perfect (without knight).bob wrote:Don't put words in my mouth. I did not say "find amazing defensive resources." I simply said "meat makes mistakes". Against perfect play, ANY mistake becomes critical.syzygy wrote:That depends on the shape of the ear. (I know, you made a typo )Uri Blass wrote:Maybe you do not know but I know like I know that if I leave a coin in the ear then it is going to fall to the floor and not stay in the air.
I fully agree that perfect DTM-play from both sides in a knight odds game will most likely take fewer moves to reach mate than a typical knight odds game between humans and/or engines.
Bob seems to think that the losing side is somehow likely to find amazing defensive resources that enable it to postpone the inevitable by hundreds of moves. But there is no rational basis for such expectation. The winning side starts with a huge advantage that it can and will use to increase its advantage at every move. The winning side will have so many more options at its disposal than the losing side that it is sure to find a mating sequence that is much shorter than one would see in a game between fallible opponents.
Or in other words, the distance to mate from a knight odds starting position. No way that distance is going to be in the hundreds of moves.
This has been explained about five times already in this thread...
In short, EVERYTHING discussed here is idle speculation. The difference Is that _I_ point out that it is speculation and guesswork when I say that there is no proof that a GM can win with a knight odds against perfect play. Nor that it is won with perfect play although that is more likely than the GM winning. You want to wave your hands and say "but it has been shown about five times already." Roll your eyes all you want. It makes you look just like what you are acting like in this discussion. Someone that doesn't have a clue.
In summary:
(1) NOBODY knows what will happen with perfect play by both sides if one side starts off a knight ahead. Don't even know if the knight is enough to win, although it probably should be. But "should be" is a far cry from "absolutely".
(2) EVERYBODY knows humans do not play perfect chess. Nor do they come very close. Just much better than the rest of the non-GM human players.
Everything else is pure speculation with absolutely no data of any kind to support it. And no, hand-waving is NOT "data".