You are right, many of the wins of the book are in the French Classical. I had a power failure, and the planned 100 game match at fixed time per move 30 sec (no time bias) was cut short and I am not going to restart it. The result after 45 games is:Peter Berger wrote:Please calm down .Laskos wrote:These are complete misconceptions of both of you. Are those your opinions? Do you have at least some empirical data? Two weeks ago I played 30 games at 40'/game on pretty strong hardware, the result was +5 =25 -0 for the Stockfish with a good, large book against Stockfish no book. I am curious what miracles would happen at 3 times longer TC like 120'/game? 2 plies deeper the engine realizes it constantly blunders many openings?lucasart wrote:I almost agree with you. However, to measure the book effect per se, one needs to depollute the measure from the time biais.Peter Berger wrote: Simplified claim: Opening books are pretty useless these days. E.g. Stockfish don't need no book at slow time controls.
...
Generally, the larger the book, the crappier it is.
A typical win for book Stockfish:
[Event "40min 4cores"]
[Site "?"]
[Date "2015.03.07"]
[Round "7.1"]
[White "Stockfish 020315 64 BMI2 Book"]
[Black "Stockfish 020315 64 BMI2"]
[Result "1-0"]
[ECO "C11"]
[Annotator "0.00;0.23"]
[PlyCount "163"]
[EventDate "2015.03.07"]
[EventType "tourn"]
[Source "Kai"]
[TimeControl "2400"]
{Intel(R) Core(TM) i7-4790 CPU @ 3.60GHz 3598 MHz W=36.7 plies; 8,989kN/s; PlaychessNightmare.ctg B=34.0 plies; 8,035kN/s}
1. e4 {B 0} e6 {0.23/28 64} 2. d4 {B 0} d5 {0.15/30 49} 3. Nc3 {B 0} Nf6 {0.12/29 40} 4. e5 {B 0} Nfd7 {0.09/31 42} 5. f4 {B 0} c5 {0.02/31 46} 6. Nf3 {B 0} Nc6 {0.00/30 36} 7. Be3 {B 0} Qb6 {0.00/32 26} 8. Na4 {B 0} Qa5+ {0.00/33 23} 9. Nc3 {B 0} Qb6 {0.00/36 31} 10. Na4 {B 0} Qa5+ {0.00/41 34} 11. c3 {B 0} cxd4 {0.00/32 38} 12. b4 {B 0} Nxb4 {0.00/33 23} 13. cxb4 {B 0} Bxb4+ {0.39/30 42} 14. Bd2 {B 0} Bxd2+ {0.32/31 43} 15. Nxd2 {B 0} b6 {0.29/34 41} 16. Bd3 {B 0} Ba6 {0.36/33 59} 17. Nb2 {B 0} Nc5 {0.53/33 41} 18. Bxa6 {B 0} Qxa6 {0.55/32 68} 19. Qe2 {B 0} Rc8 {0.57/32 34} 20. Qxa6 {B 0} Nxa6 {0.50/32 38} 21. Rb1 {B 0} O-O {0.58/33 90} 22. Nf3 {0.65/35 55} Nb4 {0.65/34 37}
...
1-0
At moves 6 to 12, the non-book Stockfish thinks it gained ground as black, giving 0.00 eval. While at move 22, exiting the book, it admits it blundered the opening, giving 0.65 to book Stockfish, which just exited the book. In 4 of the 5 wins of book Stockfish, the games went on these lines. Then, there are exiting positions which Stockfish considers equal (close to 0.00) while not being so, usually according to outcome statistics. The burden to prove your naive, misleading statements and LTC miracles (2 plies deeper) is entirely on you. I claim that maybe 5-10 years are needed for top engines to play openings reasonably and not need books. It's not about 2 plies more of the same Stockfish, your miraculous LTC. It's about 20+ plies more, horizon, lack of outcome predictability, unreliability of PV in the openings.
With some caveats I think you made your main point by now and actual data suggests you are right in principle.
The caveats might be interesting though.
My own tests/games strongly suggest that there mainly is a problem in exactly one variation for nobook right now - the closed French with the black pieces ( no surprise) that Stockfish started to play about 8-10 dev versions ago.
Before that it usually went 1. ..e5 here and dealt with the resulting positions in a competent way IMHO.
Btw - I want to point out an obvious benefit of nobook that went somehow unnoticed so far. E.g. in a recent game with white Stockfish nobook went 1. d4 f5 and replied with 2. e3. This move can't be too bad for obvious reasons and it will most probably leave the opponent more or less on its own, too - in a position that an engine won't like.
Peter
MyFriends 10.1 is a fairly strong bin book I used in cutechess-cli. Although still not very statistically conclusive, a large part of the book engine wins are book wins even at this "unbiased" time control.
Two random French wins, one a complete walkover by the book over non-book Stockfish:
[pgn][Event "?"]
[Site "?"]
[Date "2015.03.19"]
[Round "23"]
[White "Stockfish 17.03.2015 MyFriends"]
[Black "Stockfish 17.03.2015 No Book"]
[Result "1-0"]
[ECO "C11"]
[PlyCount "100"]
[EventDate "2015.??.??"]
1. e4 {book} e6 {-0.17/23 30} 2. d4 {book} d5 {-0.22/23 30} 3. Nc3 {book} Nf6 {-0.12/24 30} 4. e5 {book} Nfd7 {0.00/26 30} 5. f4 {book} c5 {0.00/28 30} 6. Nf3 {book} Nc6 {0.00/28 30} 7. Be3 {book} Qb6 {0.00/28 30} 8. Na4 {book} Qa5+ {0.00/29 30} 9. c3 {book} cxd4 {0.00/27 30} 10. b4 {book} Nxb4 {0.00/27 30} 11. cxb4 {book} Bxb4+ {-0.06/26 30} 12. Bd2 {book} Bxd2+ {0.00/27 30} 13. Nxd2 {book} b6 {-0.22/25 30} 14. Bd3 {book} Ba6 {-0.30/27 30} 15. Nb2 {book} Nc5 {-0.29/26 30} 16. Bxa6 {book} Qxa6 {-0.29/28 30} 17. Qe2 {book} Rc8 {-0.43/26 30} 18. Qxa6 {book} Nxa6 {-0.57/26 30} 19. Kd1 {book} f6 {-0.48/25 30} 20. Nf3 {book} fxe5 {-0.63/24 30} 21. fxe5 {book} Rf8 {-0.62/26 30} 22. Nxd4 {book} Rf2 {-0.62/25 30} 23. Nd3 {book} Rxg2 {-0.62/26 30} 24. Nf4 {book} Rg4 {-0.70/26 30} 25. Nfxe6 {book} Nc5 {-0.71/26 30} 26. h3 {book} Nxe6 {-0.93/27 30} 27. hxg4 {book} Nxd4 {-0.89/29 30} 28. Rxh7 {book} Kf7 {-0.98/26 30} 29. Rc1 {book} Rxc1+ {-0.85/29 30} 30. Kxc1 {book} Nc6 {-0.95/32 30} 31. e6+ {book} Kf6 {-0.92/35 30} 32. Kd2 {book} Ne7 {-1.32/29 30} 33. Ke3 {book} g6 {-1.41/29 30} 34. Rh8 {book} Kxe6 {-1.53/29 30} 35. Kf4 {book} d4 {-1.71/28 30} 36. Ke4 {book} d3 {-1.79/31 30} 37. Kxd3 {1.87/31 30} Nd5 {-1.85/31 30} *[/pgn]
The engine left the book at move 37.
37. Kxd3 {1.87/31 30} Nd5 {-1.85/31 30}
[d]7R/p3n3/1p2k1p1/8/4K1P1/3p4/P7/8 w - - 0 1[/d]
Five minute analysis by Stockfish 170315 64 BMI2:
37.Kxd3
+- (7.54 ++) Depth: 43/72 00:05:18 3735MN
(Kai, 19.03.2015)
Stockfish got destroyed by the book.
Another French win of the book, a bit milder:
[pgn][Event "?"]
[Site "?"]
[Date "2015.03.19"]
[Round "7"]
[White "Stockfish 17.03.2015 MyFriends"]
[Black "Stockfish 17.03.2015 No Book"]
[Result "1-0"]
[ECO "C11"]
[PlyCount "130"]
[EventDate "2015.??.??"]
1. e4 {book} e6 {-0.17/23 30} 2. d4 {book} d5 {-0.12/23 30} 3. Nc3 {book} Nf6 {-0.08/24 30} 4. e5 {book} Nfd7 {0.00/27 30} 5. f4 {book} c5 {0.00/28 30} 6. Nf3 {book} Nc6 {0.00/28 30} 7. Be3 {book} Qb6 {0.00/29 30} 8. Na4 {book} Qa5+ {0.00/30 30} 9. c3 {book} cxd4 {-0.05/26 30} 10. b4 {book} Nxb4 {0.00/29 30} 11. cxb4 {book} Bxb4+ {0.00/27 30} 12. Bd2 {book} Bxd2+ {-0.23/24 30} 13. Nxd2 {book} b6 {-0.30/26 30} 14. Bd3 {book} Ba6 {-0.30/26 30} 15. Nb2 {book} Nc5 {-0.36/27 30} 16. Bxa6 {book} Qxa6 {-0.35/27 30} 17. Qe2 {book} Rc8 {-0.44/25 30} 18. Qxa6 {book} Nxa6 {-0.50/27 30} 19. Kd1 {book} f6 {-0.50/25 30} 20. Nf3 {book} Kd7 {-0.58/25 30} 21. Kd2 {0.67/23 30} Rhf8 {-0.86/23 30} *[/pgn]
The engine left the book at move 21.
21. Kd2 {0.67/23 30} Rhf8 {-0.86/23 30}
[d]2r4r/p2k2pp/np2pp2/3pP3/3p1P2/5N2/PN4PP/R2K3R w - - 0 1[/d]
Five minute analysis by Stockfish 170315 64 BMI2:
21.Kd2 Rhf8
+/- (0.86 ++) Depth: 36/62 00:05:43 2740MN
(Kai, 19.03.2015)
A book win too.
I can upload somewhere the PGN of 45 games at 30s/move for those interested.
The advantages of the book seem to be:
1/ Little time is used in the opening. That gives often 40%-50% more time to spend in the remaining parts of the games. Almost none use fixed time per move, so time consumed in the opening is important.
2/ Book often overplays the engine in the opening even at fixed time per move.
Maybe Stockfish can be tweaked to not play losing lines of the French and such. Maybe it's even easy to tweak it, but as of now, it gets often overplayed by good books.