FIDE World Chess Championship thread

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JuLieN
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by JuLieN »

IGarcia wrote:
JuLieN wrote:BTW, Anand leads, against Carlsen : +15, -11, = 36.
Those stats includes a big timeframe, many games when Carlsen was a teenager. If you count games from 2010 on today, they are equal +4, -4, =19

Carlsen is strongest acording to ELO but Anand has experience.
Agrred. :) But this kind of reminds me of the Spassky - Fischer match : Fischer had never won against Spassky before it, so despite his rating was so much over Spassky's, many believed Spassky would prevail anyway.
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Adam Hair
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by Adam Hair »

Just in case some one does not know, you can follow the games live with computer analysis at TCEC - http://tcec.chessdom.com/anand-carlsen-2013-live.php
phenri
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by phenri »

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Laskos
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by Laskos »

Predcitions:

Betters give 76% to Carlsen and 24% to Anand. A month ago they gave 69%/31%.

My simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 76%
Anand wins: 11%
Drawn match: 13%

With 75% for Anand winning the tie-breaks in case of a draw (he is a better blitz palyer), it translates to 79% to 21%. The betters seem to approach the simulations, which earlier seemed to give too much advantage to Carlsen.

If Anand is ahead anytime during the match, then simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 43%
Anand wins: 33%
Drawn match: 24%
With overall 49%/51% for Carlsen/Anand.
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reflectionofpower
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by reflectionofpower »

1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
shrapnel
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by shrapnel »

Anand is looking confident !
I feel certain that Anand will win this Match... Carlsen is just a talented kid who will soon realize that the World Championship is a whole different ball-game !
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Dr.Wael Deeb
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by Dr.Wael Deeb »

reflectionofpower wrote:1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
What the.... :!: :?:

I think that there should be rules against these ultra short GM's draws....

It looks really bad and spoils the whole joy of the match that is short anyway number of games wise....
Dr.D
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Adam Hair
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by Adam Hair »

Dr.Wael Deeb wrote:
reflectionofpower wrote:1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
What the.... :!: :?:

I think that there should be rules against these ultra short GM's draws....

It looks really bad and spoils the whole joy of the match that is short anyway number of games wise....
Dr.D
I was certainly disappointed.
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JuLieN
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by JuLieN »

[pgn][Event "FWCM 2013"]
[Site "Chennai"]
[Date "2013.11.09"]
[Round "1"]
[White "Carlsen, Magnus"]
[Black "Anand, Viswanathan"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[ECO "D78"]
[WhiteElo "2870"]
[BlackElo "2775"]
[PlyCount "32"]
[EventDate "2013.??.??"]
[EventCountry "IND"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:20/3600:900+30"]

1. Nf3 d5 2. g3 g6 3. Bg2 Bg7 4. d4 c6 5. O-O Nf6 6. b3 O-O 7. Bb2 Bf5 8. c4
Nbd7 9. Nc3 dxc4 10. bxc4 Nb6 11. c5 Nc4 12. Bc1 Nd5 13. Qb3 Na5 14. Qa3 Nc4
15. Qb3 Na5 16. Qa3 Nc4 1/2-1/2[/pgn]
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reflectionofpower
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread

Post by reflectionofpower »

The first game here shows a non-combative attitude. This is going to be a lifeless WC I am afraid.