Agrred. But this kind of reminds me of the Spassky - Fischer match : Fischer had never won against Spassky before it, so despite his rating was so much over Spassky's, many believed Spassky would prevail anyway.IGarcia wrote:Those stats includes a big timeframe, many games when Carlsen was a teenager. If you count games from 2010 on today, they are equal +4, -4, =19JuLieN wrote:BTW, Anand leads, against Carlsen : +15, -11, = 36.
Carlsen is strongest acording to ELO but Anand has experience.
FIDE World Chess Championship thread
Moderators: hgm, Rebel, chrisw
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
"The only good bug is a dead bug." (Don Dailey)
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
Just in case some one does not know, you can follow the games live with computer analysis at TCEC - http://tcec.chessdom.com/anand-carlsen-2013-live.php
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
Predcitions:
Betters give 76% to Carlsen and 24% to Anand. A month ago they gave 69%/31%.
My simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 76%
Anand wins: 11%
Drawn match: 13%
With 75% for Anand winning the tie-breaks in case of a draw (he is a better blitz palyer), it translates to 79% to 21%. The betters seem to approach the simulations, which earlier seemed to give too much advantage to Carlsen.
If Anand is ahead anytime during the match, then simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 43%
Anand wins: 33%
Drawn match: 24%
With overall 49%/51% for Carlsen/Anand.
Betters give 76% to Carlsen and 24% to Anand. A month ago they gave 69%/31%.
My simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 76%
Anand wins: 11%
Drawn match: 13%
With 75% for Anand winning the tie-breaks in case of a draw (he is a better blitz palyer), it translates to 79% to 21%. The betters seem to approach the simulations, which earlier seemed to give too much advantage to Carlsen.
If Anand is ahead anytime during the match, then simulations give:
Carlsen wins: 43%
Anand wins: 33%
Drawn match: 24%
With overall 49%/51% for Carlsen/Anand.
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
Anand is looking confident !
I feel certain that Anand will win this Match... Carlsen is just a talented kid who will soon realize that the World Championship is a whole different ball-game !
I feel certain that Anand will win this Match... Carlsen is just a talented kid who will soon realize that the World Championship is a whole different ball-game !
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
What the....reflectionofpower wrote:1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
I think that there should be rules against these ultra short GM's draws....
It looks really bad and spoils the whole joy of the match that is short anyway number of games wise....
Dr.D
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
I was certainly disappointed.Dr.Wael Deeb wrote:What the....reflectionofpower wrote:1st game a draw in 16 moves. Wow! How anemic!
I think that there should be rules against these ultra short GM's draws....
It looks really bad and spoils the whole joy of the match that is short anyway number of games wise....
Dr.D
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
[pgn][Event "FWCM 2013"]
[Site "Chennai"]
[Date "2013.11.09"]
[Round "1"]
[White "Carlsen, Magnus"]
[Black "Anand, Viswanathan"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[ECO "D78"]
[WhiteElo "2870"]
[BlackElo "2775"]
[PlyCount "32"]
[EventDate "2013.??.??"]
[EventCountry "IND"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:20/3600:900+30"]
1. Nf3 d5 2. g3 g6 3. Bg2 Bg7 4. d4 c6 5. O-O Nf6 6. b3 O-O 7. Bb2 Bf5 8. c4
Nbd7 9. Nc3 dxc4 10. bxc4 Nb6 11. c5 Nc4 12. Bc1 Nd5 13. Qb3 Na5 14. Qa3 Nc4
15. Qb3 Na5 16. Qa3 Nc4 1/2-1/2[/pgn]
[Site "Chennai"]
[Date "2013.11.09"]
[Round "1"]
[White "Carlsen, Magnus"]
[Black "Anand, Viswanathan"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[ECO "D78"]
[WhiteElo "2870"]
[BlackElo "2775"]
[PlyCount "32"]
[EventDate "2013.??.??"]
[EventCountry "IND"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:20/3600:900+30"]
1. Nf3 d5 2. g3 g6 3. Bg2 Bg7 4. d4 c6 5. O-O Nf6 6. b3 O-O 7. Bb2 Bf5 8. c4
Nbd7 9. Nc3 dxc4 10. bxc4 Nb6 11. c5 Nc4 12. Bc1 Nd5 13. Qb3 Na5 14. Qa3 Nc4
15. Qb3 Na5 16. Qa3 Nc4 1/2-1/2[/pgn]
"The only good bug is a dead bug." (Don Dailey)
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Re: FIDE World Chess Championship thread
The first game here shows a non-combative attitude. This is going to be a lifeless WC I am afraid.