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I also do not believe you when you say you would change your engine based on 10 games with an 8 wins and 2 draws outcome. That's a lie and you know it Now (having thought about what I said) I am forced to apologize for saying that. I would never make a change based on ten games, and I was projectin...

Or if we are to use polls, we should do some other eliminations first, or have people rank the positions they think are very artistic or very unartistic.

People will get tired of the polls if there are more than 16 I think

That is a lot of polls.
I expect that if we have five people on the project and three people say, "I don't like this problem" it should be excluded.
I think that if problems do not raise objections, they are probably OK.

Bayesian logic says that we should change our expectation based on new information. If I have 8 wins and 2 draws LOS gives me a number. If I add a thousand draws, LOS gives me the same number. Elo, on the other hand, would use the new information to change the expectation. Elo is really only an indi...

I am addressing the question pieces at a time, and the draws are an important facet. I was just making the point that you don't believe in LOS either, because you do not trust the LOS number. I mean, if LOS says that the change is almost certain to be an improvement, why wouldn't you use it? Clearl...

I am addressing the question pieces at a time, and the draws are an important facet. I was just making the point that you don't believe in LOS either, because you do not trust the LOS number. I mean, if LOS says that the change is almost certain to be an improvement, why wouldn't you use it? Clearly...

Suppose you play ten games. The result is 8 wins 2 draws for engine A. A huge LOS for A. Will you decide that the change you made is worthwhile and incorporate the new code into your engine?

If not, why not? The LOS is enormous.

Here is the file with the analysis attached: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1todNHaRKWY8U-Qy6bWH8Nl01QQ6vr_21/view?usp=sharing I have noticed that a lot of them at the deep end have mate in 246, which may be some engine's way of saying "I found a mate but I am not sure how far" because it seems ver...

I always delete the binaries from iffy packages like that. Then I inspect the code before I build it (starting with diff against an existing close model of SF) then I can see if someone injected something.

I imagine now that you think I am even more crazy than before. Look! It happed 1000 times that A won and B lost and B never won a single game. That assumes, of course, that there is no randomness and no margin of error. That 1000 wins is buried under a massive error band, probably a googol games wide.