TalkChess.com

[Robert Houdart]

Hello Brent,

You're missing my point, my reaction was not emotional ("bad way", "offended", "look poorly on") but purely statistical.

If you see a 60-40 result in a 100 game match, you should understand that the most likely true result lies approximately between 67-33 and 53-47.

From Houdini and Critter's more or less established ratings the expected outcome is about 55-45.
Why are you surprised or "quite shocked" to find a 60-40 that lies well within the 95% confidence interval of the expected outcome?

Robert